The Renewed Power of Europe and Its Proximity to China

With Donald Trump’s return to the scene, his intervention in resolving the Russia-Ukraine clash has gained more traction. Under Trump’s mediation and his support in advancing the negotiations under the guise of ending the war, Russia can potentially preserve its occupied territories in eastern Ukraine. Consequently, Europe, sniffing the geopolitical games as an eminent threat to the continent, is determined to counter it to the degree that according to the European Commission President’s latest statement, “Europe must arm itself.” This echoes Macron’s 2018 statement that Europe needs its own independent army. 

Nevertheless, Ukraine and Western Europe are not the only parties for whom the Trump-Putin alliance has raised serious concerns. China is undoubtedly surveilling the situation closely. 

Given the gravity of such geopolitical equations, the depicted landscape may yield the following:

1)  The impending conflict between Ukraine and White House/Trump’s front will serve as a lever for Europe’s renewed military and economic independence.

2)  In broader terms, this major shift sets the stage for improving Europe’s proximity to China and potentially achieving global power equilibrium. However, Europe’s alignment with China is not ideological but rather commercial and perhaps, one day, military.

The Isolation of the United States

Trump’s strategy assumes that a peace deal in Ukraine would draw Russia closer, potentially creating a rift between Russia and China, weakening the latter. This was Nixon’s gambit, during whose office, the US engaged with China to create divisions among communist countries, pushing Russia away. Yet, such a plan today will likely yield indefensible consequences. Proximity to Russia would isolate US and push Europe towards China, granting the latter added influence.

3) Ultimately, Trump’s America versus Europe’s integrated empowerment and encouragement of China’s presence on the global stage profoundly jeopardizes world peace.

The time has come for both Europe and Canada to act independently of the United States. The Cold War mentality still grips Europe. If Europe enters the scene with full forces, establishing a unified global action with a robust military structure (the process which can be time-consuming, nonetheless), and even reaches some level of understanding with China, it sends alarming signals to both Trump and Putin, possibly urging them to reconsider jeopardizing the peace of the world. Only a third power can pacify these careless forces.

A Multinational European Army

In practice, Europe faces significant obstacles in establishing a powerful multinational military force. The United States and Russia will undoubtedly attempt to create divisions among European states to prevent such plots to advance. Historically, however, Western European nations have demonstrated greater political and strategic cohesion.

Hence, the first step in creating a European multinational army should be to establish its foundation in a core group of Western European nations rather than Eastern ones. This would likely include the United Kingdom, France, and Germany, followed by Italy and, progressively, other nations committed to the European project.

Moreover, if US were to withdraw from NATO, the remaining member states—with some exceptions aside, such as Turkey—might integrate into the new European military structure, transforming it into a powerful and influential force. In this scenario, Northern European nations would face fewer challenges in joining this new military alliance.

Considerations for Breaking the Deadlock

Achieving peace in parallel with these developments requires a series of strategic compromises:

  1. Ukraine must renounce its aspiration to join NATO. This is the most crucial step toward initiating meaningful negotiations to end the ongoing war.
  2. Ukraine must reach an agreement with the United States regarding its underground resources, a scenario that appears increasingly more likely to take hold.
  3. Once such agreement is reached, the United States, in turn, must guarantee Ukraine’s security.
  4. Russia would retain the occupied territories in Ukraine. While this is a contentious proposition, ending the war and preventing its expansion into other countries requires bold initiatives. Ultimately, it appears that this may be the only viable path for Russia’s withdrawal from further conflict.

However, such an agreement requires several key guarantees:

  • First, Russia must pledge not to launch further military aggression against Ukraine or any other European country.
  • Second, to ensure peace, Russia must accept that the United States and European nations act as the supportive guarantors of Ukraine’s security.

This could involve the deployment of Western (US and European) ground troops in Ukraine or the implementation of another security mechanism, which requires further deliberation by experts in the field.

 

Ata Hoodashtian

Ata Hoodashtian, Ph.D., is a Professor of Political Science based in Toronto. His most recent book: "Modern Political Leadership," Baran, Stockholm, 2022.

 

https://www.eurasiareview.com/06032025-breaking-the-ukrainian-impasse-and-rearming-europe-oped/

A B.C. Supreme Court judge has ordered an executive of an Iranian airline that was previously designated a terrorist entity to be extradited to the U.S. for alleged fraud against American banks. Photo by Arlen Redekop /PNG

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https://www.iranintl.com/en/202309061354

Iran: ‘Atrocity crimes’ must be investigated and perpetrators prosecuted, says Special Rapporteur

 The direct link to the report can be found here: https://www.ohchr.org/sites/default/files/documents/countries/iran/20240717-SR-Iran-Findings.pdf

 Picture Credit: Iran International

 

GENEVA – A UN Special Rapporteur said an international mechanism is essential to investigate and prosecute those responsible for “atrocity crimes” in Iran, including the extra-judicial killing of thousands of arbitrarily arrested prisoners during a crackdown by authorities on political dissent during the 1980s.

Javaid Rehman, the Special Rapporteur on the situation of human rights in the Islamic Republic of Iran – in final findings before his mandate ends on 31 July – said that the “atrocity crimes” of summary, arbitrary and extra-judicial executions during 1981-1982 and in 1988 amounted to crimes against humanity of murder and extermination, as well as genocide. The executions included women – some reportedly raped before being executed – and many children. Crimes against humanity also included imprisonment, torture and enforced disappearances.

“The Bahá’ís were targeted with genocidal intent and persecution, targeting and victimising of religious, ethnic and linguistic minorities and political opponents continued with complete impunity during, and since, the first decade of the establishment of the Islamic Republic in 1979,” Rehman said.

Among findings contained in this final paper, the Special Rapporteur said the investigative and accountability mechanism should conduct impartial and transparent investigations under international law and preserve evidence with the aim of further criminal prosecutions. “The continued concealment of the fate of thousands of political opponents and the whereabouts of their remains amounts to the crime against humanity of enforced disappearance,” Rehman said.

“I have observed the failure to ensure justice and accountability in Iran and how this is impacting the families of the victims and the current human rights situation in the country.”

The Iranian government continues to deny the “atrocity crimes”, perpetrators have not been brought to justice.

“I repeat, there should be no impunity for such gross human rights violations, regardless of when they were committed. The Iranian regime and its leaders should not be allowed to escape the consequences of their crimes against humanity and genocide. An independent international investigative and accountability mechanism for Iran is absolutely essential,” Rehman said.

The Special Rapporteur has been in contact with the Islamic Republic of Iran on this matter.

* The expert: Javaid Rehman, Special Rapporteur on the situation of human rights in the Islamic Republic of Iran.

The Special Rapporteurs and Working Groups are part of what is known as the Special Procedures of the Human Rights Council. Special Procedures, the largest body of independent experts in the UN Human Rights system, is the general name of the Council's independent fact-finding and monitoring mechanisms that address either specific country situations or thematic issues in all parts of the world. Special Procedures' experts work on a voluntary basis; they are not UN staff and do not receive a salary for their work. They are independent from any government or organization and serve in their individual capacity.

UN Human Rights, Country Page — Iran

For more information and media requests, please contact: Amal Loubani (This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.)

For media inquiries related to other UN independent experts, please contact Dharisha Indraguptha (This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.) or John Newland (This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.)

Follow news related to the UN's independent human rights experts on Twitter @UN_SPExperts

 

https://www.ohchr.org/en/press-releases/2024/07/iran-atrocity-crimes-must-be-investigated-and-perpetrators-prosecuted-says

CDI Invites the Former UN Special Rapporteur Javaid Rehman to Toronto

New president won't improve Iran's human rights situation: UN rapporteur

UN Special Rapporteur Javaid Rehman says due to systemic issues within Iran's judicial system, a change in presidency is unlikely to improve the country's human rights situation.

"There are certain systemic issues in Iran starting from 1979 (Revolution). The system is very repressive, intolerant, and non-accepting of democratic values," Rehman said in an interview with Iran International's Mahsa Mortazavi in Toronto, Canada.

He pointed out that the constitutional framework concentrates all powers with the Supreme Leader, creating an absence of an independent judiciary where people's rights can be respected. "There is a need for reform in the constitutional framework," he said, emphasizing that the people need to be recognized with the right to democratic governance, which has been absent for the last 45 years.

Rehman, who will leave his post in July, discussed his findings publicly for the first time outside the UN in Toronto, Canada, after being unable to travel to Iran to investigate human rights in Iran during his six-year tenure. The Iranian government, which dismisses all accusations regarding human rights violations, has not permitted UN special rapporteurs to visit the country and conduct investigations.

In response to Iran International’s question about how he could investigate Iran’s human rights issues without traveling to Iran, Rehman explained that he had held many meetings with the Iranian diaspora and individuals who had first-hand experiences of human rights violations, allowing him to collect substantial evidence.

"We certainly work on the basis of dialogue and human rights discourse and the improvement of the human rights situation," Rehman said.

Rehman also noted that the regime has not allowed any space for civil society to grow, repressing even non-governmental organizations like the Imam Ali organization. "The system needs substantial changes for it to accept democracy, rule of law, and the rights of the people," he asserted.

Previously, Rehman had labeled Iran's mass executions of political prisoners in 1988 as "genocide" and "crimes against humanity." In June, during a UN Human Rights Council session in Geneva, he unveiled a detailed report showing systemic state-sponsored atrocities during a brutal crackdown on dissent. His investigation revealed that thousands of political prisoners, including Baha'is, Kurds, and members of groups like the MEK, were executed in the 1980s, particularly in the summer of 1988, following a fatwa issued by Iran's then-leader, Ruhollah Khomeini, and approved by a four-member death committee.

Rehman said he chose Toronto as his destination due to its significant Iranian diaspora community. He said he wanted to meet people closely connected to Iranian communities within Iran. "It is important for them to understand the perspective of the Special Rapporteur and the challenges I face in my work, including the lack of access to the country, which Iran has unfairly denied me for the past six years," he explained. "Toronto offers a great opportunity to learn more from a community closely following developments in Iran," he added.

Rehman’s comprehensive reports, along with a detailed 400-page report from the Fact-Finding Mission on Iran, have paved the way for international tribunals and greater use of existing international jurisdiction to prosecute those responsible. The focus remains on collecting evidence that can withstand scrutiny in court. Rehman's latest report will be published on his website later this month.

https://www.iranintl.com/en/202407063985

CDI invited Javaid Rehman to Toronto to present his detailed report among the Iranian-Canadian community.

Photo credit: https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/tensions-rise-toronto-persian-community-1.6650425

5 more alleged senior members of Iranian regime face deportation from Canada

People take part in a march/rally Saturday, April 29, 2023 in Montreal against the Iranian regime. (John Kenney / MONTREAL GAZETTE )

Government of Canada lists the IRGC as a terrorist entity

Government of Canada lists the IRGC as a terrorist entity

Photo Credit: People take part in a march/rally Saturday, April 29, 2023 in Montreal against the Iranian regime. (John Kenney / MONTREAL GAZETTE )

News release

June 19, 2024

Ottawa, Ontario

Today, the Honourable Dominic LeBlanc, Minister of Public Safety, Democratic Institutions and Intergovernmental Affairs, announced that the Government of Canada has listed the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist entity under the Criminal Code, effective today.

Based on their actions, there are reasonable grounds to believe that the IRGC has knowingly carried out, attempted to carry out, participated in or facilitated a terrorist activity, or has knowingly acted on behalf of, at the direction of, or in association with an entity that has knowingly carried out terrorist activity. Listing the IRGC means that they are a terrorist group.

The decision to list the IRGC through the Criminal Code listing regime sends a strong message that Canada will use all tools at its disposal to combat the terrorist activity of the IRGC, conducted both unilaterally and in knowing association with listed terrorist entities such as Hizballah and Hamas.

As a now-listed entity, the IRGC meets the definition of a “terrorist group” under Canada’s Criminal Code. As an immediate consequence of this listing, Canadian financial institutions, such as banks and brokerages, are required to immediately freeze the property of a listed entity. It is a criminal offence for anyone in Canada and Canadians abroad to knowingly deal with property owned or controlled by a terrorist group.

Listing can also assist Canadian security, intelligence and law enforcement agencies to combat terrorism, including by helping to facilitate the laying of terrorism charges against perpetrators and supporters of terrorism. The terrorist listings mechanism plays a key role in countering terrorist financing. A listing can also help block sympathizers in Canada from providing assistance to terrorist groups.

Today’s listing builds on Canada’s previous actions, which were already some of the strongest in the world against the Iranian regime, including:

  • The Government of Canada has listed several terrorist entities that have benefited from the IRGC’s patronage and that have helped advance Iran’s interests and foreign policy. These include Hizballah, Hamas, the Palestinian Islamic Jihad, and the Taliban. Furthermore, in June 2019, Canada added three new Iran-backed groups to the Criminal Code terrorist list: the Al-Ashtar Brigades, Harakat al-Sabireen, and the Fatemiyoun Division.
  • In November 2022, Canada designated the Islamic Republic of Iran as a regime that has engaged in terrorism and systematic or gross human rights violations. As a result, under the Immigration and Refugee Protection Act, thousands of senior Iranian government officials, including top IRGC members, are inadmissible to Canada. In addition to being banned from entering the country, current and former senior Iranian government officials who are in Canada may be investigated and removed.
  • Since October 2022, Canada has imposed 18 rounds of sanctions under the Special Economic Measures (Iran) Regulations and the Justice for Victims of Corrupt Foreign Officials Act (JVCFOA) to target individuals and entities involved in gross and systematic violations of human rights and threats to international peace and security. A total of 200 Iranian individuals and 250 Iranian entities are listed under Special Economic Measures Act (SEMA) and the JVCFOA. These measures effectively freeze any assets the listed individuals and entities may hold in Canada.

The Government of Canada will continue to fight terrorist threats to Canada, people in Canada and its interests around the world.

Quotes

“The Iranian regime has consistently displayed a complete disregard for human rights, both inside and outside Iran, as well as a willingness to destabilize the international rules-based order. Listing the IRGC builds on the Government of Canada’s broader efforts to ensure that there is no impunity for Iran’s unlawful actions and its support of terrorism. Our government will always promote human rights and take action against those seeking to disrupt our way of life, here in Canada and around the world.”

-       The Honourable Dominic LeBlanc, Minister of Minister of Public Safety, Democratic Institutions and Intergovernmental Affairs

Quick facts

  • There are several offences in the Criminal Code that address conduct in connection with terrorist groups. For example, the Criminal Code prohibits dealing in any property (including money) owned or controlled by terrorist groups or to provide any financial services (such as services offered by banks and money services business) for the benefit of or at the direction of a terrorist group.

  • With this addition, there are now 77 terrorist entities listed under the Criminal Code

  • To ensure the list of terrorist entities remains up-to-date, a comprehensive review of each entity occurs within five years from June 21, 2019 if listed before that date or if listed on or after June 21,2019, within five years of the date of its being listed to determine whether it should remain on the list, and subsequently within every five years of the most recent recommendation to list with respect to each listed entity. Following the Government’s recent review, it has assessed 47 entities to determine whether they should remain on the list. It was concluded that the Groupe islamique armé (GIA) should be delisted as it is now defunct. The other 46 entities, including the IRGC’s Qods Force, continue to meet the threshold for listing.

Associated links

Contacts

Jean-Sébastien Comeau
Deputy Director of Communications
Office of the Honourable Dominic LeBlanc
Minister of Public Safety, Democratic Institutions and Intergovernmental Affairs
343-574-8116
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Media Relations
Public Safety Canada
613 991-0657
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